The Committee on Climate Change (CCC) recognise that the UK’s climate is changing and that climate change impacts for the UK are inevitable. However, ambitious joint action to reduce emissions and adapt to climate change can help to reduce the risks.
Launch of a new website: UK Climate Risk
In order to showcase the wide range and vast quantity of important work that is currently underway to inform the next assessment of climate risk in the UK, the CCC has launched a new website: www.ukclimaterisk.org
The site will act as an online hub to provide a digital home for the CCC’s Climate Change Risk Assessment Evidence Report, alongside some of the latest research on climate risk.
Background to the CCRA and Evidence Report
The UK Government is required, under the 2008 Climate Change Act, to publish a climate change risk assessment (CCRA) every five years. The first risk assessment was published in 2012, and the second in 2017. The third UK Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA3) is due in 2022. The CCRA provides the evidence base to inform Government-led national adaptation programmes in England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland.
For CCRA3, the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) has asked the CCC to prepare an independent Evidence Report setting out the latest evidence on the risks and opportunities to the UK from climate change.
The CCRA Evidence Report is a collaborative effort involving research and support from over 130 organisations (including ADAS). Based on this evidence, the Adaptation Committee will provide its advice to Government to inform the UK Government’s third official UK Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA3), due in 2022.
Independent research reports
As part of the research to inform the CCRA Evidence Report, the CCC commissioned several research projects to feed into the technical chapters of the report, undertaken between 2018 and 2020. These research projects have been published on the new website here. These include:
- Projections of Future Flood Risk;
- Projections of Future Water Availability;
- Understanding how behaviours can influence climate change risks;
- Climate-driven threshold effects in the natural environment;
- Interacting risks in infrastructure, the built and natural environments;
- A consistent set of socioeconomic dimensions for CCRA3; and
- Advice on improving the accessibility of the Climate Change Risk Assessment 2022 Synthesis Report and other outputs.
ADAS were directly involved in two of these research projects:
Interacting risks in infrastructure, the built and natural environments
Authors: WSP in the UK, Risk Solutions and ADAS
This project assesses a key evidence gap from the CCRA2 Evidence Report in understanding how climate change affects the interaction of risks across the infrastructure, built environment and natural environment sectors. The project has created 12 interlinked systems maps showing principal interactions within and between the three sectors.
Developed alongside the 12 systems maps is an interactive online tool, which visualises a single (combined) ‘mega map’ where users can select different climate inputs to identify pathways that are of interest.
Climate-driven threshold effects in the natural environment
Authors: UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, ADAS, Forest Research, Vivid Economics, Bangor University and the Met Office.
This project assesses a key evidence gap from the CCRA2 Evidence Report on climate-driven threshold (i.e. non-linear) effects within the natural environment, and the role of adaptation (natural and human responses) in moderating those threshold effects. A threshold is defined in the study as “the point at which a non-linear change in an ecosystem component occurs as a result of change in a climate driver”.
The report assesses threshold effects in the following habitat types; freshwater, farmland and grasslands, peatlands, woodlands, marine and coastal margins.
The www.ukclimaterisk.org site will continue to be updated in the coming months as further research and inputs into the Evidence Report become available.
For further information on the reports, or to discuss how ADAS can help support your organisation to address climate change, please contact Charles Ffoulkes on firstname.lastname@example.org.